Yesterday, I said that the Jaguars could have a very, very good year. I went out on a limb, saying they could wind up as good as 13-3, which is likely good enough for the top seed in the AFC, and at the very lest the second seed.
Now it's time to look at the bleak side of this equation. We really don't know what to expect from the Jaguars in 2012. All indications from John Oehser and anyone that's been around Gabbert this offseason have been positive, but that doesn't mean it'll translate on the field. The Jaguars have a difficult schedule to look forward to, and they have to score points to win games, regardless of how strong their defense turns out to be.
In 2012, it could be as painful to watch as it was a year ago. If that's the case, the only difference would be that we would be watching a suddenly lame-duck quarterback in Blaine Gabbert with only Chad Henne to back him up. Yeah, that's a bleak picture.
Even worse, the injury bug doesn't take karma into its equation. If it bites the Jaguars' defense again in 2012, they're sunk, especially without an offense to fall back on.
The other concern I have is that many believe Maurice Jones-Drew isn't as quick as he once was. It's really difficult to make that claim without seeing him with the team, but it remains in the realm of possibility, and without a great running back, the Jaguars' offense will have a hard time functioning at a successful level.
The Jaguars have the potential to put together a great season in 2012, but they have that same potential to put together another stinker that we'd all rather forget. Looking at their schedule, I have a hard time believing they'll win less than 5 games, even with the bleakest of circumstances. Still, a 5-11 record would be no fun at all, and that's as bad as I think it could possibly be.